Quasi-Experimental Models

By |April 29th, 2014||Comments Off on Quasi-Experimental Models

Primary Source: Patton, C. V, and Sawicki, D. S. (1993) Basic Methods of Policy Analysis, Second Edition. Prentice Hall: Englwood Cliffs, NJ.

 

Quasi-experimental designs are useful for real-world evaluations when a true experiment cannot be conducted – when we cannot randomly assign persons to treatment or control groups, when we cannot control the administration of the program or policy or restrict the policy to a treatment group or when programs are not directed at individuals.   The term quasi-experimental unfortunately implies to some persons that there is something wrong or second-rate about the design. Quite to the contrary, quasi-experimental approaches seek to maintain the logic of full experimentation but without the procedures, hardware, techniques, or control of the laboratory. Cook and Campbell’s Quasi-Experimentation provides extensive coverage of this approach and the design options available, including a description of appropriate statistical tests for the designs. There are two basic designs that planners and analysts should find very useful: the non-equivalent control group and the interrupted time-series designs. The non-equivalent control-group design involves the comparison of a treatment group and a similar (but not randomly selected) group before and after the policy or program is implemented. The interrupted time-series design involves the comparison of a treatment group several times both before and after the policy or program is implemented.

Nonequivalent Control-Group Design

The non-equivalent control-group design (Table 1) is read with the Ts and Cs indicating observations or measurements for the treatment and control groups, respectively, and the subscripts 1 and 2 indicating, respectively, preprogram and postprogram measurements. The dashed line indicates that the control group is logically selected so as to be similar, but not necessarily equivalent, to the treatment group. In short, a group, locale, or other entity [...]

Experimental Models

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Primary Source: Patton, C. V, and Sawicki, D. S. (1993) Basic Methods of Policy Analysis, Second Edition. Prentice Hall: Englwood Cliffs, NJ.

 

To overcome the limitations of simple before-and-after comparisons, the experimental-design approach, using the concepts of equivalent control and experimental groups and preprogram and postprogram measurements, has been adopted. The experimental-design approach typically makes comparisons among individuals in randomly selected groups, some of whom are served by the program and some of whom are not served by it or are served in some other way. Comparison groups must be specified before the program implementation, and the groups are made similar through random selection and assignment.

The evaluator identifies program objectives and corresponding evaluation criteria and takes the following steps:

Selects control and experimental (treatment or target) groups, usually by random assignment or probability sample. Measures the preprogram status (conditions) of each group using the selected evaluation criteria.
Applies the program to the target group, but not to the control group. Monitors the operation of the program to prevent outside events from having a distorting impact. Makes adjustments to eliminate or reduce outside influences as necessary.
Measures target -and control- group statuses after the program has had an opportunity to effect changes. Compares these to preprogram status levels. If changes exists in the target group but not in the control group, and if, after careful examination, no outside factors are found to have caused the change it is assumed that the program did in fact account for the observed change in the target group.

The basic pretest, posttest, control-group experimental design is diagrammed in Table 1. Before-program and after-program conditions are shown for both control and treatment groups, with Ts and Cs indicating observations or measurements for the [...]

Actual-versus-Planned Performance Comparisons

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Primary Source: Patton, C. V, and Sawicki, D. S. (1993) Basic Methods of Policy Analysis, Second Edition. Prentice Hall: Englwood Cliffs, NJ.

 

This approach compares actual postprogram data to targets set in prior periods, usually before implementation of the program. The analyst sets specific goals and targets for pre-established evaluation criteria for known time periods, and obtains data on the performance that actually occurs. Finally, the analyst compares actual performance to target performance, and seeks plausible explanations for differences that might have been brought about by program and nonprogram factors. In practice, this approach has been modified to involve comparison of actual program performance with implied rather than explicit targets. Targets can be set each year for one or more years in advance, and annual evaluations can be made of programs that have existed for a number of years (where preprogram data may not have much relevance). Although this method may be helpful in revealing year-to-year and other short-term changes, it does not allow us to determine the extent to which changes can be attributed to the policy or program.

These types of designs, which do not have equivalent experimental and control groups or pretests and posttests to help measure and determine the causes of change in key criteria, present a variety of interpretation problems, referred to as problems of internal and external validity. Internal validity refers to the ability todetermine whether unequivocal conclusions can be drawn about the experiment itself, and external validity refers to the ability to generalize from the experiment to other settings. In general, internal-validity problems for simple evaluation designs described above include the inability to determine whether observed changes occurred because of the program or because of non-experimental events. Such events [...]

With-and-Without comparisons

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Primary Source: Patton, C. V, and Sawicki, D. S. (1993) Basic Methods of Policy Analysis, Second Edition. Prentice Hall: Englwood Cliffs, NJ.

 

In an attempt to identify what changes might have been brought about by a program, the before-and-after comparison approach has been modified to include a comparison of relevant criteria in the locale with the program to a locale without the program, both before and after implementation. The obvious limitations here are the selection of appropriate comparison locales or groups and the assumption that changes observed in the target locale can be attributed to the policy or program. While the use of a comparison community shows awareness of the need for a control group, the expense of such comparison groups, without other aspects of the experimental design approach.

Before-and-After Comparisons

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Primary Source: Patton, C. V, and Sawicki, D. S. (1993) Basic Methods of Policy Analysis, Second Edition. Prentice Hall: Englwood Cliffs, NJ.

 

Perhaps the most widely used evaluation method, the before-and-after approach, involves comparing conditions (of peoples or locales) before a policy or program is implemented and after it has had a chance to make an impact. Although steps might be taken to identify program objectives and relevant evaluation criteria and to collect data prior to program implementation (rather than to reconstruct the data or rely on data collected for other purposes), this method requires that we assume that any differences between before-and-after data are a result of the policy or program.

This approach can be modified somewhat to compare actual postprogram data with no-action alternative as it was projected before implementing the program. This variation still fails to identify unanticipated consequences of no action and requires us to assume that the trend extrapolation reflects what would have indeed occurred.

Green Accounting (GA)

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Primary Source: Jeswani, H., and Azapagic, A. (2006) Green Accounting SWOT Analysis in Report on the SWOT analysis of concepts, methods, and models potentially supporting LCA. Eds. Schepelmann, Ritthoff & Santman (Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Energy) & Jeswani and Azapagic (University of Manchester), pp 198-200

Level of analysis: Macro

Assessed aspects of sustainability: Economic

Main purpose of the assessment: To incorporates environmental assets and their source and sink functions into national accounts.

Description of the methodology: Green accounting incorporates environmental assets and their source and sink functions into national and corporate accounts. It is the popular term for environmental and natural resource accounting.

Detailed description

Green accounting is based on the concept that a proper assessment of a country’s income and wealth needs to account for the contributions of activities made by all sectors of the economy and their impact on resource depletion and degradation (UN, 2003). Green accounting addresses the shortcoming of traditional national accounting, known as the System of National Accounts (SNA) by factoring environmental costs into the financial results of operations. It is argued that traditional SNA ignores the value of resources (on and in the ground) as well as the value of environmental degradation (Bartelmus, et al., 2008). Therefore, it gives a false impression of income and wealth and often leads policy-makers to ignore or destroy the environment to further economic development. Incorporating the real value of natural resources as well as their depletion and degradation allows for better allocation of priorities, thereby helping to address the causes of current major environmental problems including the over-exploitation of natural resources such as forests.

It is a controversial practice however, since depletion is already factored into accounting for the extraction industries and the accounting for externalities may be [...]

Sustainable Process Design (SPD)

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Primary Source: Jeswani, H., and Azapagic, A. (2006) Sustainable Process Design SWOT Analysis in Report on the SWOT analysis of concepts, methods, and models potentially supporting LCA. Eds. Schepelmann, Ritthoff & Santman (Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Energy) & Jeswani and Azapagic (University of Manchester), pp 194-197

Level of analysis: Micro (processes and products)

Assessed aspects of sustainability: Environmental, Economic and Social

Main purpose of the assessment: To aid sustainable process design on a life cycle basis, integrating technical, economic, environmental and social criteria.

Description of the methodology: This approach enables identification of relevant sustainability criteria and indicators, comparison of alternatives, sustainability assessment of the overall process design and identification of ‘hot spots’ in the life cycle of the system.

Detailed description8

Conventional process design is based on technical and economic criteria, with the system boundary drawn around the process itself. This often leads to designs which are optimised economically around the plant but under-optimised upstream and downstream of the process. Recognising this deficiency in process design, Azapagic et al. (2004 & 2006) have proposed a general methodology for Sustainable Process Design (SPD) to enable consideration on a life cycle basis of economic, environmental and social criteria, alongside the usual technical criteria.

The methodology consists of the three following steps:

Identification of sustainability design criteria and stakeholders

The starting point in SPD is identification of sustainability criteria on which the alternatives, and later the whole design, will be assessed. At the initial stage of design when little information on the whole system may be available, it is proposed to use generic sustainability criteria that apply to any process; some examples are listed in Table 1. Further examples are provided by IChemE (2003), who have developed a set of sustainability indicators specifically for the [...]

Life Cycle Optimisation (LCO)

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Primary Source: Jeswani, H., and Azapagic, A. (2006) Life Cycle Assessment SWOT Analysis in Report on the SWOT analysis of concepts, methods, and models potentially supporting LCA. Eds. Schepelmann, Ritthoff & Santman (Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Energy) & Jeswani and Azapagic (University of Manchester), pp 189-193

Level of analysis: Micro (processes and products)

Assessed aspects of sustainability: Environmental and economic.

Main purpose of the assessment: To enable life cycle system optimisation on environmental, technical and economic.

Description of the methodology: This approach establishes a link between the economic and environmental performance of a system from ‘cradle to grave’ by combining multiobjective optimisation with LCA.

Detailed description7

This approach establishes a link between the economic and environmental performance of a system from ‘cradle to grave’ by combining multiobjective optimisation with LCA (Azapagic, 1999; Azapagic and Clift, 1999a &b). A general framework for the life cycle optimisation methodology comprises four steps (Azapagic and Clift, 1999a):

1. Completion of the LCA study;

2. Formulation of the optimisation problem in the context of LCA;

3. Multiobjective optimisation (MO) on environmental and economic criteria;

4. Multicriteria decision analysis and choice of the best compromise solution.

The diagramatic representation of the lifecycle optimisation approach is given in Figure 1. The first step in this procedure involves carrying out an LCA study of the system, by following the ISO 14040 methodology. As indicated in Figure 1, an appropriate LCA software can be used to carry out material and energy balances and to quantify the burdens and impacts along the life cycle. The material and energy balances for the process itself can also be carried out within an existing flowsheeting package and these data can then be fed into the LCA software. The data for the other parts of the system can [...]

Sustainability Assessment (SA)

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Primary Source: Jeswani, H., and Azapagic, A. (2006) Strategic Assessment SWOT Analysis in Report on the SWOT analysis of concepts, methods, and models potentially supporting LCA. Eds. Schepelmann, Ritthoff & Santman (Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Energy) & Jeswani and Azapagic (University of Manchester), pp 182-188

Level of analysis: Micro, meso and macro.

Assessed aspects of sustainability: Environmental, Economic and Sociall possible, with a focus on environmental aspects

Main purpose of the assessment: Integrated assessment of environmental, economic and social sustainability.

Description of the methodology: SA framework allows using combination of various tools to assess all aspects of sustainability (economic, environmental and social) of policies, projects and plans.
Detailed Description
Sustainability Assessment is an umbrella term that can include a range of approaches or methodologies such as Sustainability Appraisal, Sustainability Impact Assessment, Integrated Sustainability Assessment5, or Integrated Assessment6, amongst others. Sustainability Assessment may be conducted by regulators for approval purposes, in what might be termed “external” Sustainability Assessment; while “internal” Sustainability Assessment is increasingly conducted by proponents themselves as a tool to improve internal decision-making and the overall sustainability of the final proposal (Pope, 2006). It is being applied to an ever-increasing range of decisions across the world, from policies, to strategic plans, to projects to trade agreements (Dalal-Clayton and Sadler, 2005), at different levels (local, regional, national, international, sectoral) and with different timing (ex ante, during, ex post).

There are many variations of the forms of sustainability-based assessment existing throughout the world. Many international organisations and associations have adopted sustainability and have been developing indicators for sustainability assessments. Some of these organisations and associations include Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), World Trade Organisation (WTO), World Economic Forum’s (Pilot Environmental Sustainability Index), the Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes, [...]

Social Life Cycle Assessment or Societal LCA

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Primary Source: Porta, P. and Buttol, P. (2006) Social Life Cycle Assessment SWOT Analysis in Report on the SWOT analysis of concepts, methods, and models potentially supporting LCA. Eds. Schepelmann, Ritthoff & Santman (Wuppertal Institute for Climate and Energy) & Jeswani and Azapagic (University of Manchester), pp 170-174

Level of analysis: any, but primary focus on the micro level (products and services)

Assessed aspects of sustainability: social

Main purpose of the assessment: To assess the social aspects of products and their positive and negative impacts along their life cycle.

Description of the methodology: social Life Cycle Assessment (SLCA) explores social aspects throughout the product life cycle, generally with the aim of improvement or in comparison to an alternative. The methodological framework, proposed by the UNEPSETAC Life Cycle Initiative, is based on the ISO-LCA structure. As a method that complements LCA with social aspects, it can either be applied on its own or in combination with LCA.

Detailed description

Life cycle assessment (LCA) is a methodology that traditionally considers environmental impacts in a products life cycle. The methodology has obtained a widespread use as decision-support among different stakeholder groups in society. With a broadly accepted goal in society to strive for a sustainable development, this has created incentives to not only assess environmental impacts of products, but also to consider their economic and social impacts. While economic impacts of products usually are covered by Life Cycle Costing (LCC) the social impacts of products have more recently been introduced in the LCA-methodologies, commonly referred to as Social Life Cycle Assessment (SLCA). Nevertheless, social impacts are not easily distinguished from the economic context in which they occur: when referring to the causes of social impacts, this generally implies behaviours, socio-economic processes and human, [...]